Murada vs Novelda CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.2%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.6%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.1%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.4%
7.3%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
CAL
0 - 0
MUR
55%
22%
23%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
MUR
0 - 1
UNI
64%
19%
17%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
THD
0 - 3
MUR
60%
20%
20%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
MUR
1 - 1
SPO
42%
23%
35%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
ELD
4 - 1
MUR
81%
12%
7%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
VIL
3 - 1
NOV
83%
12%
5%
|
9 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2023 |
NOV
1 - 4
CAL
11%
19%
71%
|
10 | 18 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
UNI
3 - 1
NOV
58%
20%
22%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
NOV
0 - 1
THD
12%
19%
69%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
SPO
3 - 1
NOV
67%
19%
15%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | 0 |