Murada vs G. Caliche analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.4%
Win probability
2.82
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
8%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.8%
11.8%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
MUR
1 - 0
CFP
81%
12%
7%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
MUR
9 - 0
MON
91%
7%
3%
|
19 | 7 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
CAL
1 - 2
MUR
24%
20%
57%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
MUR
1 - 0
SPO
91%
7%
2%
|
19 | 7 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
ATO
1 - 3
MUR
11%
15%
75%
|
19 | 11 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
G. Caliche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
BEN
3 - 1
GRU
62%
18%
19%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
DHO
1 - 3
GRU
47%
21%
32%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
GRU
0 - 0
CFP
52%
21%
28%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
CAL
2 - 1
GRU
57%
19%
24%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
GRU
3 - 1
SPO
77%
13%
9%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | +1 |