Murada vs G. Caliche analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.5%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.3%
27.2%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
FOR
0 - 5
MUR
15%
18%
67%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
MUR
3 - 1
BEN
76%
14%
10%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
CAL
3 - 4
MUR
41%
22%
38%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
SPO
2 - 2
MUR
47%
22%
32%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
MUR
1 - 3
MON
58%
20%
22%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
G. Caliche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
GRU
2 - 2
DOL
19%
20%
61%
|
13 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
DHO
4 - 1
GRU
49%
21%
30%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
GRU
7 - 1
MON
72%
16%
13%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
GRU
3 - 0
ALM
24%
21%
56%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | +2 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
ISI
3 - 3
GRU
44%
21%
35%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | -1 |