Murada vs S. Fulgencio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.7%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
23%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-87%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
BEN
4 - 4
MUR
55%
20%
25%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
MUR
0 - 1
RAC
34%
22%
44%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2016 |
MUR
2 - 1
DOL
23%
21%
57%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
DHO
2 - 2
MUR
45%
22%
33%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
MUR
7 - 1
MON
76%
14%
10%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
S. Fulgencio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
SPO
0 - 1
DOL
21%
21%
59%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
DHO
0 - 0
SPO
52%
22%
27%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
SPO
4 - 0
MON
73%
16%
12%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
ALM
2 - 0
SPO
53%
21%
26%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
SPO
2 - 1
ISI
74%
15%
11%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 |