Murada vs Bigastro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.9%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
16.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
RED
0 - 4
MUR
14%
16%
70%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
MUR
1 - 1
CFP
69%
17%
15%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
GRU
0 - 1
MUR
44%
22%
34%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
MUR
3 - 2
FOR
74%
16%
10%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
MUR
3 - 1
ATO
59%
19%
22%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Bigastro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
BIG
1 - 2
SPO
53%
23%
24%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
BEN
1 - 0
BIG
62%
20%
18%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
BIG
2 - 1
THA
82%
12%
6%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
SPO
2 - 1
BIG
50%
24%
26%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2017 |
BIG
13 - 0
MON
76%
15%
9%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |