Mozoncillo vs Villacastín Racing analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.5%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.4%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.5%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
61.9%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
10%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.8%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+62%
+66%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mozoncillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
COC
2 - 0
MOZ
77%
14%
9%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
MOZ
1 - 1
CAN
59%
21%
20%
|
11 | 8 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
SPO
0 - 0
MOZ
48%
22%
30%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
MOZ
2 - 0
LGR
51%
21%
28%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
MON
1 - 2
MOZ
79%
13%
8%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Villacastín Racing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
VIL
1 - 1
GIM
78%
14%
8%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
COC
1 - 1
VIL
50%
22%
28%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
VIL
2 - 1
SLO
83%
12%
6%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
CAN
0 - 1
VIL
9%
16%
74%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
VIL
2 - 0
CLA
76%
15%
9%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |