Mozoncillo vs Real Sitio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.7%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.7%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.5%
69.8%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.9%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7.5%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
+49%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mozoncillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
LAS
1 - 1
MOZ
57%
20%
24%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
MOZ
2 - 0
VAL
59%
21%
20%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2025 |
SMM
3 - 2
MOZ
41%
22%
37%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
MOZ
3 - 1
CAN
16%
20%
64%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | +2 |
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
CUE
1 - 2
MOZ
79%
13%
8%
|
15 | 22 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Real Sitio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
RSI
4 - 1
CAN
65%
18%
17%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
CUE
0 - 2
RSI
29%
21%
50%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2025 |
RSI
5 - 2
UNA
75%
15%
10%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
RSI
4 - 2
ASU
81%
12%
7%
|
26 | 14 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
CAR
2 - 2
RSI
33%
23%
44%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |