Mozoncillo vs Gimnastica Ayllonesa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.8%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.8%
72.2%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.2%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.6%
0-4
5.5%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
8%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.6%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+123%
+154%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mozoncillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
SPO
4 - 1
MOZ
79%
13%
8%
|
8 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
MOZ
1 - 3
PRA
33%
22%
44%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
CUE
2 - 1
MOZ
38%
23%
40%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
MOZ
1 - 1
PRA
30%
22%
48%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2017 |
CAN
1 - 0
MOZ
79%
13%
8%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Gimnastica Ayllonesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
GIM
4 - 2
CAB
51%
21%
29%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
ARC
4 - 0
GIM
57%
20%
23%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | -2 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
GIM
5 - 2
SMM
72%
16%
12%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
CAN
0 - 0
GIM
23%
21%
57%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
CAB
0 - 1
GIM
52%
21%
27%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | +1 |