FC Motagua vs Real España analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.4%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
30.2%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
2º
7º
3º
21
2º
9º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
32 | 32 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
29 | 29 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 23 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 22 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 21 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 20 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 17 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
15 | 15 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Motagua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2023 |
OLI
3 - 0
MOT
44%
26%
29%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2023 |
MOT
3 - 0
VID
50%
25%
25%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
MAR
2 - 1
MOT
43%
27%
30%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
MOT
1 - 0
CDG
70%
20%
11%
|
73 | 15 | 58 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2023 |
VIC
0 - 4
MOT
23%
27%
50%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Real España
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2023 |
RES
0 - 0
CDG
77%
16%
8%
|
72 | 17 | 55 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
RES
1 - 2
MAR
46%
26%
28%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
JAG
1 - 3
RES
25%
26%
49%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2023 |
RES
0 - 1
OLI
39%
26%
35%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
VIC
4 - 3
RES
22%
27%
51%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |