FC Motagua vs Real España analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.5%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
19%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Motagua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2021 |
MOT
5 - 2
HNP
73%
18%
9%
|
74 | 55 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2021 |
RSO
3 - 3
MOT
16%
24%
61%
|
74 | 52 | 22 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
MOT
2 - 2
RDM
76%
17%
7%
|
74 | 55 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2021 |
MOT
2 - 0
MAR
58%
23%
18%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
MOT
3 - 1
JAG
70%
20%
11%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Real España
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2021 |
RDM
0 - 0
RES
31%
28%
41%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2021 |
PLA
2 - 2
RES
38%
26%
36%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
VID
2 - 3
RES
41%
27%
32%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
RES
2 - 2
MAR
45%
26%
29%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2021 |
HNP
1 - 1
RES
24%
26%
50%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | 0 |