FC Motagua vs Honduras Progreso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.5%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.1%
29.4%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Motagua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
RSO
1 - 1
MOT
48%
27%
25%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
PAR
1 - 2
MOT
45%
27%
28%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2014 |
MOT
3 - 1
VID
51%
25%
24%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
RES
2 - 0
MOT
59%
23%
19%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2014 |
MOT
3 - 0
VIC
47%
27%
27%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Honduras Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
OLI
0 - 2
HNP
58%
25%
17%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |