CD Móstoles vs Trival Valderas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.4%
Win probability

1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
13.3%
Win probability

0.76
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →

+91%
-43%

Points and table prediction

Their league position

CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
63
2º
16º
2º
40
3º
17º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
Current table | Final expectations | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
![]() |
1º
|
76 | 76 |
1º
|
100% | |
![]() |
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
![]() |
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
![]() |
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
0% | |
![]() |
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
0% | |
![]() |
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
![]() |
7º
|
48 | 48 |
7º
|
100% | |
![]() |
8º
|
45 | 45 |
8º
|
100% | |
![]() |
9º
|
44 | 44 |
9º
|
100% | |
![]() |
10º
|
41 | 41 |
10º
|
100% | |
![]() |
11º
|
40 | 40 |
11º
|
100% | |
![]() |
12º
|
40 | 40 |
12º
|
100% | |
![]() |
13º
|
40 | 40 |
13º
|
100% | |
![]() |
14º
|
39 | 39 |
14º
|
100% | |
![]() |
15º
|
39 | 39 |
15º
|
100% | |
![]() |
16º
|
38 | 38 |
16º
|
100% | |
![]() |
17º
|
35 | 35 |
17º
|
100% | |
![]() |
18º
|
29 | 29 |
18º
|
100% |
Expected probabilities | ||
---|---|---|
![]() |
![]() |
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression


Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Móstoles

1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
21 Jan. 2024 |
CDM
![]() 0 - 0
![]() LRZ
54%
24%
22%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
14 Jan. 2024 |
CVI
![]() 1 - 2
![]() CDM
23%
23%
54%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | +1 |
07 Jan. 2024 |
CDM
![]() 0 - 0
![]() GAL
65%
20%
15%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
17 Dec. 2023 |
LEG
![]() 0 - 1
![]() CDM
56%
23%
22%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | +1 |
03 Dec. 2023 |
CDM
![]() 2 - 2
![]() ADP
69%
19%
12%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Trival Valderas

1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
21 Jan. 2024 |
POZ
![]() 2 - 2
![]() VAL
53%
24%
23%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
14 Jan. 2024 |
VAL
![]() 0 - 1
![]() MEX
29%
25%
46%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | -1 |
07 Jan. 2024 |
TRC
![]() 2 - 0
![]() VAL
54%
24%
23%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
17 Dec. 2023 |
VAL
![]() 2 - 1
![]() CAN
42%
26%
32%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | +2 |
03 Dec. 2023 |
SIE
![]() 2 - 0
![]() VAL
47%
24%
29%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | -1 |