CD Móstoles vs Real Madrid C analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.5%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.3%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
56.8%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
10.1%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Móstoles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
CDM
1 - 0
ALC
45%
25%
29%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
URS
2 - 0
CDM
63%
21%
17%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | -2 |
| 06 Apr. 2023 |
CDM
2 - 4
MEX
46%
25%
29%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | -2 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
TRJ
0 - 0
CDM
25%
25%
50%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
CDM
0 - 1
RMA
33%
23%
45%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Real Madrid C
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
RMA
1 - 2
MEX
69%
17%
14%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
ARA
0 - 3
RMA
7%
14%
79%
|
40 | 19 | 21 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
TRJ
0 - 1
RMA
15%
19%
66%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
RMA
5 - 0
VAL
78%
14%
8%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
CDM
0 - 1
RMA
33%
23%
45%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |