CD Móstoles vs CD Ursaria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.7%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
38.1%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
3º
8º
7º
65
1º
4º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 70 |
1º
|
93% | |
|
|
2º
|
65 | 68 |
2º
|
93% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
46% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 46 |
5º
|
18.5% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
58% | |
|
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
70% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
69.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
39.5% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 35 |
11º
|
28% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 34 |
12º
|
42% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
15.5% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 32 |
14º
|
32.5% | |
|
15º
|
29 | 32 |
15º
|
32% | |
|
16º
|
16 | 16 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 7% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 93% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Móstoles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
MEX
2 - 4
CDM
50%
24%
26%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
CDM
0 - 1
TRJ
59%
21%
20%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
RMA
2 - 1
CDM
33%
24%
44%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
CVI
1 - 3
CDM
19%
24%
57%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
CDM
4 - 1
CAN
77%
16%
8%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
CD Ursaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
URS
3 - 0
CVI
73%
18%
10%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
CAN
1 - 1
URS
15%
22%
64%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
URS
2 - 0
POZ
64%
21%
15%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
GET
0 - 0
URS
33%
25%
42%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
URS
1 - 1
CDE
60%
22%
18%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | 0 |