CD Móstoles vs CD Canillas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.6%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.7%
7.7%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+86%
-51%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
3º
8º
7º
32
2º
15º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 70 |
1º
|
93% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 68 |
2º
|
93% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
46% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 46 |
5º
|
18.5% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
58% | |
|
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
70% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
69.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
39.5% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 35 |
11º
|
28% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 34 |
12º
|
42% | |
|
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
15.5% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 32 |
14º
|
32.5% | |
|
15º
|
29 | 32 |
15º
|
32% | |
|
16º
|
16 | 16 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 63% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 37% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Móstoles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
POZ
1 - 1
CDM
37%
25%
38%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
CDM
0 - 1
GET
55%
23%
22%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
CDE
2 - 1
CDM
30%
26%
45%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
CDM
2 - 1
ARA
74%
16%
10%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
VAL
3 - 0
CDM
21%
25%
54%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | -2 |
Matches
CD Canillas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
CAN
0 - 1
CVI
48%
24%
28%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
RMA
2 - 1
CAN
71%
17%
12%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
POZ
2 - 1
CAN
67%
20%
13%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
CAN
2 - 2
GET
22%
24%
54%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
CDE
2 - 1
CAN
68%
20%
13%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | -1 |