CD Móstoles vs Alcorcón B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59%
Win probability

1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
18.8%
Win probability

0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →

+91%
-22%

Points and table prediction

Their league position

CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
63
2º
16º
2º
45
3º
14º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
Current table | Final expectations | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
![]() |
1º
|
76 | 76 |
1º
|
100% | |
![]() |
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
![]() |
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
![]() |
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
0% | |
![]() |
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
0% | |
![]() |
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
![]() |
7º
|
48 | 48 |
7º
|
100% | |
![]() |
8º
|
45 | 45 |
8º
|
100% | |
![]() |
9º
|
44 | 44 |
9º
|
100% | |
![]() |
10º
|
41 | 41 |
10º
|
100% | |
![]() |
11º
|
40 | 40 |
11º
|
100% | |
![]() |
12º
|
40 | 40 |
12º
|
100% | |
![]() |
13º
|
40 | 40 |
13º
|
100% | |
![]() |
14º
|
39 | 39 |
14º
|
100% | |
![]() |
15º
|
39 | 39 |
15º
|
100% | |
![]() |
16º
|
38 | 38 |
16º
|
100% | |
![]() |
17º
|
35 | 35 |
17º
|
100% | |
![]() |
18º
|
29 | 29 |
18º
|
100% |
Expected probabilities | ||
---|---|---|
![]() |
![]() |
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression


Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Móstoles

1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 Mar. 2024 |
RMA
![]() 2 - 0
![]() CDM
47%
26%
27%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
16 Mar. 2024 |
RVB
![]() 0 - 4
![]() CDM
21%
22%
58%
|
43 | 27 | 16 | +1 |
10 Mar. 2024 |
CDM
![]() 4 - 0
![]() POZ
74%
17%
9%
|
42 | 26 | 16 | +1 |
03 Mar. 2024 |
MEX
![]() 1 - 3
![]() CDM
31%
24%
45%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
25 Feb. 2024 |
CDM
![]() 3 - 1
![]() TRC
56%
22%
21%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Alcorcón B

1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 Mar. 2024 |
ALC
![]() 2 - 0
![]() POZ
68%
20%
13%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
17 Mar. 2024 |
MEX
![]() 0 - 2
![]() ALC
44%
24%
32%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | +2 |
09 Mar. 2024 |
ALC
![]() 0 - 2
![]() TRC
48%
24%
29%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | -2 |
03 Mar. 2024 |
CAN
![]() 1 - 1
![]() ALC
27%
25%
49%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
24 Feb. 2024 |
ALC
![]() 1 - 3
![]() SIE
56%
24%
21%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | -1 |