CD Móstoles U19 vs Rayo C. Alcobendas U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.6%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.8%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
49.6%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+82%
-37%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
14º
16º
14º
35
2º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 75 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
75 | 75 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 48 |
5º
|
50.5% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
50.5% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 41 |
7º
|
70% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 38 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
36.5% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 36 |
11º
|
31.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
52% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
86.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
22 | 22 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 22 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 20 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Copa del Rey U18
|
0% | 0% |
|
Possible next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 86.5% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 13.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Móstoles U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
MOS
2 - 0
LRZ
22%
23%
55%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
ALC
0 - 1
MOS
46%
25%
30%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
MOS
1 - 1
VAD
11%
18%
72%
|
14 | 30 | 16 | +2 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
RMA
4 - 0
MOS
91%
7%
2%
|
15 | 50 | 35 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
MOS
1 - 1
BCF
8%
15%
76%
|
13 | 33 | 20 | +2 |
Matches
Rayo C. Alcobendas U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
RCA
1 - 2
DIO
42%
24%
34%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
LRZ
3 - 1
RCA
42%
23%
36%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
RCA
0 - 0
UDL
65%
19%
15%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
ALC
1 - 2
RCA
20%
22%
59%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
RCA
4 - 4
FUE
78%
14%
8%
|
23 | 12 | 11 | 0 |