CD Móstoles C vs Libertad Alcorcón B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.5%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
0.1%
+2
7.3%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.8%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.7%
54.8%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
5.2%
3-4
1.6%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
3.1%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
16.2%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
10%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+652%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Móstoles C
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
NVC
0 - 1
MOS
74%
15%
11%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
MOS
0 - 4
CAD
23%
19%
59%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
MOS
1 - 2
MOS
47%
21%
32%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
MOS
8 - 0
PEA
52%
20%
28%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
NAV
3 - 2
MOS
73%
14%
13%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Libertad Alcorcón B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
LIA
2 - 1
NAV
56%
19%
25%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
LIA
4 - 2
CDC
69%
16%
15%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
LIA
0 - 6
VIL
27%
22%
51%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
TGA
0 - 11
LIA
18%
18%
65%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
LIA
2 - 2
ESC
75%
14%
12%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 |