Morata CD vs Montecarlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.9%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.4%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.3%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
56.7%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.4%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morata CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
CFB
2 - 1
CDM
82%
12%
6%
|
12 | 23 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
CDM
0 - 1
CEL
17%
21%
62%
|
12 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
CFV
5 - 1
CDM
78%
14%
8%
|
13 | 21 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
CDM
0 - 3
CFI
14%
20%
66%
|
13 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2013 |
CAL
2 - 0
CDM
58%
22%
21%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Montecarlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
UDM
2 - 0
MAL
32%
25%
44%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
CDQ
2 - 3
UDM
33%
24%
43%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
UDM
0 - 3
CDB
26%
23%
51%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
UDM
1 - 2
CFB
25%
22%
53%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
CEL
1 - 1
UDM
69%
17%
14%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |