Morata CD vs Olvega SD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.5%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
16.1%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-50%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morata CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
CAL
3 - 1
CDM
19%
25%
56%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
CDM
3 - 1
PRA
36%
23%
41%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
RIV
1 - 2
CDM
25%
25%
50%
|
17 | 10 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
CDM
3 - 2
MON
70%
17%
13%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
HER
4 - 1
CDM
59%
22%
20%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Olvega SD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
OLV
1 - 2
BOR
56%
21%
23%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
REM
1 - 1
OLV
65%
19%
17%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
OLV
0 - 0
ARI
60%
19%
20%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
CDC
1 - 2
OLV
52%
22%
26%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
TOR
1 - 2
OLV
74%
16%
11%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | +1 |