Morata CD vs Montecarlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.1%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
41.2%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morata CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
CEL
0 - 0
CDM
58%
23%
19%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2015 |
CDA
0 - 1
CDM
46%
25%
29%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
CDM
3 - 1
CAL
38%
25%
37%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
LAA
3 - 1
CDM
67%
19%
14%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
CDM
4 - 1
MAG
48%
23%
29%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | +2 |
Matches
Montecarlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
UDM
5 - 0
SAN
48%
23%
29%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2015 |
UDS
0 - 1
UDM
53%
24%
23%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
UDM
1 - 1
ATL
33%
26%
42%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
UDB
3 - 1
UDM
46%
23%
30%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
UDM
4 - 4
FRA
23%
24%
54%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | +1 |