Morata CD vs Monreal CD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.8%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.3%
12.9%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+439%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morata CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
HER
4 - 1
CDM
59%
22%
20%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
CDM
2 - 2
GAL
71%
18%
12%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
ATE
0 - 0
CDM
55%
22%
23%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
CDM
4 - 1
EPI
53%
22%
25%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
CDB
1 - 3
CDM
19%
24%
57%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Monreal CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
MON
2 - 2
BOR
23%
21%
56%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
REM
4 - 3
MON
72%
16%
12%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
MON
1 - 2
ARI
38%
22%
40%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
CDC
0 - 1
MON
55%
20%
25%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
MON
1 - 1
CAL
45%
23%
32%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | 0 |