Morata CD vs Luceni CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.3%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.4%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.8%
9.9%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-78%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morata CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
CDM
3 - 0
TAU
46%
23%
31%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
LMU
1 - 1
CDM
65%
19%
16%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
CDM
1 - 0
RIV
52%
21%
27%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
ATE
3 - 2
CDM
20%
23%
57%
|
22 | 12 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
CDM
5 - 1
AGR
74%
16%
10%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Luceni CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
ARI
4 - 0
LUC
48%
22%
30%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
LUC
0 - 1
EPI
71%
16%
13%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
CDC
3 - 2
LUC
40%
23%
38%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
LUC
2 - 2
TOR
60%
19%
20%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
CFV
1 - 1
LUC
55%
20%
25%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | +1 |