Morata CD vs Luceni CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.1%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.9%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.4%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.4%
8.5%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-78%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morata CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
LMU
0 - 1
CDM
21%
23%
57%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
CDM
1 - 0
PRA
45%
23%
32%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
TAU
1 - 3
CDM
35%
26%
38%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
CDM
5 - 1
GAL
72%
17%
12%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
OLV
1 - 0
CDM
26%
26%
49%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
Luceni CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
PRA
7 - 1
LUC
70%
17%
14%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
LUC
2 - 1
GAL
62%
19%
19%
|
10 | 8 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
TOR
3 - 0
LUC
59%
20%
21%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
LUC
1 - 1
BOR
46%
21%
33%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
MAL
5 - 1
LUC
48%
23%
29%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | -2 |