Morata CD vs Gallur CD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.8%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
11.6%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+130%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morata CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
ATE
0 - 0
CDM
55%
22%
23%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
CDM
4 - 1
EPI
53%
22%
25%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
CDB
1 - 3
CDM
19%
24%
57%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
CDM
0 - 0
TAU
26%
22%
53%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
CDM
3 - 1
TOR
41%
23%
36%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | +2 |
Matches
Gallur CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
GAL
0 - 0
BOR
21%
21%
58%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
REM
3 - 3
GAL
66%
19%
15%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
GAL
3 - 5
CDC
59%
21%
20%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
OLV
4 - 1
GAL
21%
22%
57%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | -2 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
GAL
0 - 0
CAL
79%
14%
7%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | 0 |