Morata CD vs Fuentes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.5%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.2%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
48.1%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morata CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
CDC
2 - 1
CDM
64%
19%
17%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
CDM
3 - 1
BEL
20%
22%
59%
|
14 | 22 | 8 | +2 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
ACF
2 - 0
CDM
40%
23%
37%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | -2 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
CDM
0 - 4
CFB
21%
20%
59%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
ATC
1 - 4
CDM
66%
20%
14%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
Fuentes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
FUE
1 - 0
CDU
51%
24%
26%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
CDC
5 - 3
FUE
42%
23%
35%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
FUE
4 - 0
CDA
49%
23%
28%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
BEL
3 - 1
FUE
53%
24%
24%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
FUE
1 - 0
CAL
43%
24%
33%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |