Morata CD vs CF Villa De Alagón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
35.1%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morata CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
CDU
3 - 0
CDM
57%
24%
19%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
CDM
0 - 3
ZAR
45%
22%
33%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
HCJ
2 - 0
CDM
45%
23%
32%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
CDM
4 - 0
CEL
45%
25%
31%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
MAL
0 - 0
CDM
51%
25%
24%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
CF Villa De Alagón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
CFV
1 - 1
UDC
57%
22%
21%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
FUE
2 - 0
CFV
51%
25%
25%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
CFV
2 - 0
MAL
57%
22%
22%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
CAL
1 - 0
CFV
47%
26%
27%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | -2 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
SAR
3 - 2
CFV
79%
15%
6%
|
21 | 38 | 17 | 0 |