Morata CD vs Cella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.8%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
32.3%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+62%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morata CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
CDU
2 - 0
CDM
76%
16%
8%
|
15 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
CDM
5 - 0
CDC
32%
25%
43%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | +2 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
CAL
0 - 1
CDM
53%
23%
24%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
CDM
1 - 1
ALC
19%
21%
60%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
CDA
1 - 0
CDM
75%
16%
9%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Cella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
CEL
1 - 1
ATC
34%
25%
42%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
CDU
5 - 1
CEL
71%
18%
11%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
CEL
2 - 0
CDC
29%
25%
46%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | +2 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
CAL
3 - 1
CEL
26%
23%
51%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | -2 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
CEL
1 - 3
ALC
50%
23%
27%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | -1 |