Morata CD vs Cella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.7%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.2%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
39.1%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+55%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morata CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
CDC
4 - 0
CDM
86%
10%
4%
|
16 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2019 |
CDM
2 - 1
UDS
26%
22%
52%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
HER
2 - 1
CDM
65%
19%
16%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
CDM
3 - 2
UDM
50%
23%
28%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
AND
0 - 0
CDM
53%
24%
24%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Cella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
CEL
1 - 0
QUI
42%
26%
33%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2019 |
EPI
2 - 0
CEL
69%
18%
13%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
CEL
5 - 0
ALC
23%
22%
56%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | +2 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
CDC
3 - 2
CEL
54%
21%
24%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
CEL
2 - 2
CAS
20%
23%
58%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | +1 |