Morata CD vs Cella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.2%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
40.3%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+46%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morata CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
CDM
3 - 3
CAL
18%
22%
60%
|
14 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
ACF
1 - 1
CDM
78%
14%
8%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
CDM
1 - 2
CDA
28%
24%
49%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
CDM
1 - 2
ATC
17%
20%
63%
|
15 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
CDU
0 - 0
CDM
63%
21%
15%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Cella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
CDU
2 - 1
CEL
50%
25%
25%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
CEL
2 - 0
AND
27%
25%
48%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 2017 |
CEL
0 - 0
TER
61%
20%
19%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
ALF
0 - 2
CEL
29%
25%
46%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
CUA
0 - 2
CEL
74%
17%
10%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | +2 |