Morata CD vs Cella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.5%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.2%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
39.8%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+46%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morata CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
CDM
2 - 2
MAL
42%
25%
33%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
PED
0 - 1
CDM
16%
22%
62%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
CDM
2 - 0
FUE
38%
25%
38%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | +2 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
CDM
2 - 4
UDS
29%
24%
47%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
SAN
2 - 2
CDM
41%
24%
35%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Cella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 2
CEL
28%
24%
48%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
CEL
3 - 0
LAA
38%
26%
37%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
GAL
2 - 1
CEL
29%
22%
49%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
CEL
2 - 1
UDC
39%
25%
36%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
CFB
4 - 1
CEL
59%
21%
19%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |