Morata CD vs Actur Pablo Iglesias analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.7%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
27.2%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morata CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
CAL
5 - 0
CDM
57%
22%
21%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
CDM
0 - 1
LAA
27%
23%
51%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2014 |
UDC
1 - 2
CDM
62%
20%
18%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
MAG
0 - 1
CDM
18%
20%
62%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
CDM
2 - 2
CEL
29%
23%
48%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Actur Pablo Iglesias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
CDA
1 - 3
CDC
31%
24%
45%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
BEL
4 - 1
CDA
65%
20%
16%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Dec. 2014 |
CFB
4 - 0
CDA
60%
20%
20%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
CDA
1 - 1
ACF
62%
20%
18%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
CDA
4 - 0
ATC
34%
23%
43%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | +2 |