Morata CD vs Calamocha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.4%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
22.8%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morata CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
CDM
3 - 0
VIL
65%
18%
17%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
QUI
1 - 0
CDM
51%
24%
25%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
CDM
3 - 0
TAU
72%
18%
11%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
UDM
1 - 1
CDM
65%
20%
15%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
CDM
3 - 1
CEL
36%
25%
40%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Calamocha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
LAA
1 - 1
CAL
48%
25%
27%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
CAL
1 - 1
GAL
61%
20%
19%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
UDC
0 - 0
CAL
56%
23%
21%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
CAL
0 - 2
CFB
28%
24%
48%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
EPI
1 - 1
CAL
66%
18%
16%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | 0 |