Morata CD vs Calamocha CF B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.9%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
33.2%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+61%
+529%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morata CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
FUE
1 - 1
CDM
72%
17%
11%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
CDM
4 - 1
CDS
60%
21%
19%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | +2 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
CDU
2 - 1
CDM
42%
24%
34%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
CDM
2 - 3
CDT
23%
23%
54%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2012 |
CDM
1 - 0
CFV
19%
22%
59%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
Calamocha CF B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
CAL
2 - 3
MAL
27%
24%
49%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
CDQ
1 - 2
CAL
18%
21%
61%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
CAL
1 - 1
UDM
72%
17%
12%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
CFB
3 - 1
CAL
59%
21%
20%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | -1 |