Morata CD vs At. Calatayud analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.4%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.5%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
47.5%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+44%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morata CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
ALC
0 - 5
CDM
31%
25%
45%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
CDM
1 - 1
GAL
67%
18%
15%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
SAD
3 - 3
CDM
23%
22%
55%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
CDM
2 - 3
CFV
27%
24%
48%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
FUE
0 - 3
CDM
43%
23%
34%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
At. Calatayud
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
ATC
0 - 0
UDC
55%
23%
22%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
FUE
2 - 1
ATC
31%
24%
45%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
ATC
1 - 2
MAL
65%
20%
15%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
CFV
1 - 2
ATC
38%
24%
38%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
ATC
0 - 0
CDU
53%
23%
24%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | -1 |