Morata CD vs Alcañiz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.3%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.4%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
64.4%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.8%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morata CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
ALB
2 - 0
CDM
36%
25%
39%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
CDM
0 - 0
CAR
33%
22%
44%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
DEL
0 - 0
CDM
67%
19%
14%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2021 |
CDM
1 - 3
CDA
27%
25%
48%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2021 |
HER
3 - 3
CDM
61%
20%
19%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Alcañiz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
ACF
0 - 2
ATC
55%
22%
23%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
CEL
0 - 0
ACF
21%
23%
57%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
ACF
0 - 1
CDU
35%
25%
40%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2021 |
ACF
0 - 1
QUI
59%
22%
19%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Jun. 2021 |
CDU
3 - 0
ACF
48%
23%
28%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |