Morata CD vs Alcañiz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.6%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.3%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
67.9%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.2%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.8%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morata CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2018 |
CDA
6 - 0
CDM
74%
16%
10%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
ATC
2 - 1
CDM
73%
17%
10%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
CDM
2 - 1
CDU
28%
23%
49%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
AND
3 - 0
CDM
74%
17%
9%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
CDM
2 - 3
ALF
48%
23%
29%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Alcañiz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2018 |
ACF
2 - 0
CDU
71%
17%
12%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
AND
1 - 2
ACF
37%
24%
39%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
ACF
3 - 1
ALF
77%
15%
9%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
TER
0 - 1
ACF
12%
15%
73%
|
21 | 12 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
ACF
1 - 1
CUA
41%
23%
36%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |