Morales de Toro vs Sporting Zamora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.8%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.5%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
56.3%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
17%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
9.9%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morales de Toro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
MOR
5 - 1
CAN
49%
22%
30%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
XUV
5 - 1
MOR
76%
14%
10%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | -2 |
| 10 Jan. 2015 |
MOR
5 - 4
NAV
34%
23%
43%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | +2 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
MAD
5 - 0
MOR
77%
14%
9%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
MOR
1 - 1
MOR
24%
22%
54%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Zamora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
SPO
2 - 1
VIL
64%
19%
18%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
CAN
1 - 4
SPO
22%
21%
58%
|
13 | 8 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2015 |
SPO
4 - 1
XUV
25%
22%
54%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | +2 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
NAV
3 - 2
SPO
31%
22%
47%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
SPO
3 - 5
MAD
36%
23%
41%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | -1 |