Morales de Toro vs Santa Croya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.4%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
7%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.7%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.1%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.8%
44.7%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
8%
2-3
5%
3-4
1.6%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morales de Toro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
MOR
1 - 3
CAM
21%
19%
59%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
MOR
0 - 2
VIL
17%
18%
65%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
SAC
4 - 1
MOR
49%
21%
30%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | -2 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
CAN
5 - 2
MOR
36%
22%
42%
|
10 | 8 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
MOR
1 - 4
XUV
23%
21%
56%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Santa Croya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
SAN
1 - 3
TOR
32%
21%
47%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
RCB
2 - 2
SAN
42%
21%
37%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
SAN
1 - 1
COR
65%
17%
18%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
GCE
2 - 0
SAN
69%
17%
15%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
SAN
2 - 2
MOR
46%
20%
34%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | 0 |