Morales de Toro vs Fresno de La Ribera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.8%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
4%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.1%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.7%
34.5%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morales de Toro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
BOV
3 - 0
MOR
89%
7%
4%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
MOR
3 - 1
SAN
39%
22%
40%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | +2 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
SAC
2 - 1
MOR
54%
21%
26%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
MOR
3 - 2
MOR
82%
12%
6%
|
7 | 15 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
MOR
2 - 3
VIL
12%
15%
73%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Fresno de La Ribera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
FRE
2 - 3
SAN
31%
21%
48%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
FRE
1 - 2
CAM
24%
22%
54%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
FRE
2 - 0
GCE
14%
18%
69%
|
7 | 15 | 8 | +3 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
FRE
2 - 3
ATL
45%
22%
33%
|
7 | 8 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
COR
2 - 0
FRE
75%
14%
11%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |