Monzon vs Guardense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.1%
Win probability
3.35
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.9%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.2%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8.1%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
4.5%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.2%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.7%
10.4%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
10.4%
6.5%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-75%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monzon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
JOP
0 - 5
MON
5%
13%
82%
|
17 | 5 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
MON
7 - 2
CAR
70%
16%
15%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
VIL
0 - 3
MON
65%
18%
17%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
MON
4 - 0
CDF
37%
22%
42%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
VDB
2 - 3
MON
59%
21%
21%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Guardense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
CAS
7 - 1
GUA
58%
19%
23%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
GUA
4 - 2
JOP
72%
15%
13%
|
8 | 5 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
CAR
6 - 2
GUA
54%
20%
26%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
CDF
7 - 0
GUA
71%
16%
13%
|
10 | 17 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
GUA
3 - 2
GRI
62%
17%
21%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | 0 |