Monte Carlo vs Windsor Arch Ka I analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.5%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
3.1%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.2%
30.3%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monte Carlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2018 |
SMA
3 - 0
MCA
44%
21%
35%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
MCA
1 - 0
PSP
65%
18%
17%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
HSA
2 - 3
MCA
41%
21%
39%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
MCA
5 - 0
ALF
78%
13%
9%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
MCA
0 - 1
CHF
74%
15%
11%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | -14 |
Matches
Windsor Arch Ka I
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2018 |
WAK
5 - 0
ALF
75%
14%
11%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
CHF
2 - 2
WAK
47%
20%
33%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
WAK
2 - 8
BEN
50%
21%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2018 |
WAK
1 - 1
CPK
28%
22%
50%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | -11 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
WAK
11 - 1
LAI
93%
6%
2%
|
42 | 16 | 26 | +1 |