Monte Carlo vs Windsor Arch Ka I analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.7%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.1%
23.2%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monte Carlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2011 |
MCA
5 - 1
GLP
54%
21%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2011 |
LLM
2 - 10
MCA
46%
23%
31%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
HNM
0 - 8
MCA
48%
23%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
HFM
1 - 6
MCA
59%
20%
22%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
GDA
0 - 12
MCA
43%
23%
34%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Windsor Arch Ka I
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2011 |
FCP
5 - 2
WAK
47%
23%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2011 |
MAC
0 - 2
WAK
43%
24%
34%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2011 |
WAK
2 - 1
PSP
59%
20%
21%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
WAK
4 - 2
GLP
53%
21%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
WAK
5 - 1
LLM
63%
19%
18%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |