Monte Carlo vs Vá Luen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.2%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
21.6%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monte Carlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2008 |
GLP
2 - 2
MCA
53%
23%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
MCA
4 - 0
VCM
56%
22%
23%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
VLM
0 - 3
MCA
48%
24%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
MCA
5 - 0
HFM
57%
22%
22%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2008 |
PSP
0 - 3
MCA
44%
24%
32%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Vá Luen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2008 |
PSP
1 - 1
VLM
43%
24%
32%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
HFM
0 - 0
VLM
50%
24%
27%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
VLM
0 - 3
MCA
48%
24%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
MUM
1 - 5
VLM
49%
24%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2008 |
VLM
1 - 0
HTM
55%
22%
23%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | 0 |