Monte Carlo vs Vá Luen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.1%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
24%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monte Carlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 2007 |
HFM
0 - 4
MCA
50%
24%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2007 |
MCA
2 - 1
PSP
67%
19%
14%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2007 |
MCA
3 - 2
MUM
52%
23%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2007 |
HTM
0 - 1
MCA
47%
24%
29%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Vá Luen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 2007 |
VLM
2 - 3
MUM
49%
24%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2007 |
HTM
0 - 1
VLM
47%
24%
29%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2007 |
VLM
0 - 6
GLP
49%
24%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2007 |
VCM
2 - 2
VLM
50%
24%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |