Monte Carlo vs Tak Chun Ka I analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
87.1%
Win probability
3.65
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.2%
7-0
1.9%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.8%
6-0
3.7%
7-1
1.6%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.7%
5-0
6.1%
6-1
3.1%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
+5
10%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
5.1%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.9%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
7%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.6%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.5%
8.2%
Draw
0-0
1.1%
1-1
3.4%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
8.2%
4.5%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
-94%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monte Carlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
CPK
3 - 0
MCA
67%
16%
17%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
FJH
1 - 2
MCA
9%
13%
78%
|
27 | 14 | 13 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
BEN
1 - 0
MCA
64%
17%
19%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
MCA
4 - 2
TCK
88%
8%
4%
|
28 | 13 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
CHF
3 - 1
MCA
49%
21%
30%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Tak Chun Ka I
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
TCK
1 - 2
CHF
12%
16%
72%
|
14 | 31 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
TCK
4 - 2
SMA
39%
21%
40%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | +2 |
| 12 Apr. 2024 |
TCK
0 - 6
LUL
18%
18%
64%
|
13 | 21 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
MCA
4 - 2
TCK
88%
8%
4%
|
13 | 28 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
TCK
1 - 3
HSA
35%
21%
44%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | -1 |