Monte Carlo vs Sporting Macau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85.4%
Win probability
3.39
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.2%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.7%
5-0
5.7%
6-1
2.6%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8.8%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
4.5%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
14%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.6%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16%
9.4%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
9.4%
5.1%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
-90%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monte Carlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
MCA
8 - 1
TCK
90%
7%
3%
|
26 | 10 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
MCA
1 - 2
UNI
68%
16%
16%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
FJH
1 - 1
MCA
11%
14%
75%
|
27 | 15 | 12 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
SMA
1 - 1
MCA
8%
13%
79%
|
27 | 13 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
MCA
2 - 0
TCK
87%
8%
5%
|
27 | 13 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Macau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
SMA
2 - 0
UNI
21%
20%
59%
|
14 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
SMA
4 - 1
TCK
65%
17%
18%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
FJH
1 - 0
SMA
50%
20%
29%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
UNI
4 - 2
SMA
75%
14%
11%
|
14 | 23 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
SMA
1 - 1
MCA
8%
13%
79%
|
13 | 27 | 14 | +1 |