Monte Carlo vs Sporting Macau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.6%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.4%
19.9%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
-111%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monte Carlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2021 |
LUL
4 - 1
MCA
23%
19%
58%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2021 |
MCA
1 - 0
HSA
70%
16%
15%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
MCA
0 - 0
TCK
56%
19%
25%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
CHF
1 - 0
MCA
44%
20%
36%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2020 |
MCA
3 - 1
PSP
85%
10%
5%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | -6 |
Matches
Sporting Macau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
SMA
1 - 4
BEN
28%
20%
52%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
CPO
2 - 1
SMA
63%
17%
20%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2021 |
PSP
3 - 0
SMA
23%
21%
57%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | -2 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
SMA
0 - 2
CPK
40%
21%
39%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -2 |
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
PSP
1 - 0
SMA
8%
14%
78%
|
41 | 20 | 21 | -9 |