Monte Carlo vs Policia SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85.3%
Win probability
3.22
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.9%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.2%
5-0
5.7%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.3%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.7%
3-0
11%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.8%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.9%
9.7%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.7%
4.9%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monte Carlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2020 |
MCA
1 - 2
LUL
81%
11%
8%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
BEN
6 - 0
MCA
73%
15%
12%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
SMA
5 - 1
MCA
36%
23%
41%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | -2 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
MCA
1 - 1
WAK
63%
17%
20%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
CPO
4 - 4
MCA
37%
20%
43%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Policia SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
PSP
1 - 0
SMA
8%
14%
78%
|
20 | 41 | 21 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
PSP
3 - 1
LUL
13%
16%
72%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | +2 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
WAK
2 - 0
PSP
88%
9%
4%
|
19 | 36 | 17 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2020 |
PSP
4 - 3
CPO
7%
13%
80%
|
15 | 35 | 20 | +4 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
CHF
1 - 0
PSP
92%
6%
2%
|
16 | 42 | 26 | -1 |