Monte Carlo vs Policia SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
93.9%
Win probability
3.86
Expected goals
10-0
0.3%
+10
0.3%
9-0
0.7%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.9%
8-0
1.7%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
2.1%
7-0
3.6%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
+7
4.3%
6-0
6.5%
7-1
1.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
8.1%
5-0
10.1%
6-1
2.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
13%
4-0
13.1%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
17.7%
3-0
13.6%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.7%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.9%
4.6%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
2.2%
2-2
0.8%
3-3
0.1%
4-4
<0%
0
4.6%
1.3%
Win probability
0.39
Expected goals
0-1
0.6%
1-2
0.4%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
1.1%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.2%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monte Carlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2018 |
ALF
3 - 4
MCA
23%
21%
56%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2018 |
CHF
2 - 1
MCA
49%
20%
31%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2018 |
BEN
1 - 0
MCA
60%
19%
21%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2018 |
MCA
0 - 5
CPK
55%
20%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2018 |
LAI
0 - 6
MCA
31%
21%
48%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Policia SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2018 |
CHF
4 - 0
PSP
58%
20%
22%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2018 |
BEN
4 - 0
PSP
65%
18%
17%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Jun. 2018 |
CPK
6 - 1
PSP
61%
20%
19%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2018 |
PSP
2 - 5
LAI
55%
21%
24%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2018 |
WAK
2 - 1
PSP
62%
20%
19%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |